A new call circulating on X says XRP could reach $4 by November 30. XRP is trading near $1.39, so that would mean a 188% rally in less than six weeks. The forecast rests on a comparison with 2024, when XRP spent months near $0.50 before breaking out above $3.
XRP is up about 4.5% in the past 24 hours, and buyers stepping in on dips have lifted it to around $1.39.
The Case For $4
Supporters of the $4 target see the current $1.28 to $1.33 zone as a base like the one XRP formed in 2024. Both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages sit close to $1.28, which they treat as a support floor.
The path outlined has several stages:
- $1.60 to $1.73: major resistance that would need to break to confirm bullish momentum
- $2.19, $2.56 and $2.93: Fibonacci levels to clear next
- $3.46, then $3.66: the second figure is XRP’s all-time high
- $4.14: a Fibonacci extension close to the $4 target
A shorter-term view suggests that a move above $1.42 would put $1.52 in play.
The Ceiling Tested Seven Times
However, XRP has tested its $1.27 to $1.55 range seven times. It bounced off the $1.27 floor again this week.
On that view, the path forward is:
- $1.27, then $1.40, then $1.48, then $1.55
- If XRP breaks above $1.55 on heavy volume and holds there, $1.70 and $1.88 come into view.
The same reading warns that levels tested many times can weaken, so an eighth test of $1.55 is not certain to produce a breakout.
Can Retail Interest Lift XRP?
Some market watchers are looking at retail attention instead of charts. A new @XRP handle on X and the XRP.org website could bring fresh buyers in. XRP’s reputation as a “normie chain” is seen as a possible strength, since marketing to everyday users can drive demand.
They point to the launch of First Ledger, a meme coin platform on the XRP Ledger. When it launched, XRP was trading near $0.52. In the weeks that followed, XRP climbed to about $2.80, and on-chain activity picked up as the platform grew. It is unclear whether the meme coins lifted XRP or XRP’s rally drew traders to the meme coins, and the timing may have been a coincidence. According to XRPScan data, XRPL activity is rising again.
What $4 Would Require
For XRP to reach $4, it would need to:
- Break the $1.55 ceiling that has held through seven tests
- Clear the $1.60 to $1.73 resistance zone
- Rise past its $3.66 all-time high, all before November 30
The 2024 rally shows that large moves are possible, but that climb from $0.50 took weeks of buildup. For now, XRP is trading in the lower half of its range.
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