XRP has dropped back to $1.29, nearly 65% below its all-time high. This is the third time since September that the token has fallen to this level, and the charts do not yet show a confirmed bottom.
According to an analyst who tracks XRP’s cycles, the next move depends on whether the $1.10 to $1.29 zone holds.
Each Bounce Is Getting Weaker
The two recent bounces from the same support area tell the story:
- September: XRP rose from about $1.25 to $1.66.
- Mid-October: From almost the same level, it reached only about $1.40.
The weaker second rebound suggests buyers are running out of strength. When XRP fell below its October 8 low, the price action became more choppy.
The Timing Looks Familiar
XRP’s current cycle has followed a similar timeline to its last one:
- Last cycle: XRP peaked in April 2021 and bottomed about 14 months later, in June 2022.
- This cycle: XRP peaked in July 2025 and fell to a low near $1 in August 2026, about 13 months later.
That low came at $0.985, the 50% retracement of the previous rally. The similar timing is interesting, but timing alone does not confirm a bottom.
History Says XRP Takes Its Time
Even after past lows, XRP has been slow to recover. After the June 2022 bottom, it traded sideways for almost two and a half years, mostly below $0.80. The low only became obvious in November 2024, when XRP broke out of that range and climbed from about $0.50 to above $2 within roughly a month.
There is also a warning from earlier cycles. After its early 2018 peak, XRP made a first low about eight months later. The real bottom came more than two years after the peak, roughly 95% below it. A first low is not always the final one.
XRP Price Levels To Watch
- Support zone: $1.29, $1.21 and $1.10, which are Fibonacci retracement levels. $1.21 is the 61.8% “golden ratio”.
- Early signal: a strong break above the recent high near $1.40, or above a short-term trendline
- Major resistance: around $1.67
- Upside target zone: $2.14 to $2.99, if a low is confirmed
- All-time high resistance: $3.40 to $3.70
- Invalidation: a decisive break below $1.10, which would make new lows under the August bottom more likely
What Would Confirm A Bottom
Confirming a meaningful low would take a strong five-leg rally from support followed by a three-leg pullback that holds above the previous low. That pattern has not appeared yet. Until it does, the chart view is that XRP is in a corrective pullback, and higher prices remain possible as long as the $1.10 to $1.29 zone holds.
Was this writing helpful?
Story Ends Here
Trust with CoinPedia:
CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
Investment Disclaimer:
All opinions and insights shared represent the author’s own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
Sponsored and Advertisements:
Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.
Read the Next News
