XRP has fallen into rare territory on technical indicators. According to on-chain analysis platform Cryptollica, the monthly Relative Strength Index, or RSI, fell below the 43 level. This threshold has been seen only three times in the last 13 years, with previous examples falling in February 2017, March 2020 and June 2022.
Rarely seen technical threshold attracted attention
According to Cryptollica’s assessment, this chart does not only indicate oversold conditions. The platform noted that previous similar readings coincided with major cycle resets in XRP, followed by drastic directional changes in the price structure. Therefore, the infrequency of the signal turned the market’s attention back to XRP.
According to Cryptollica data, this is only the fourth time in XRP’s trading history that the monthly RSI has fallen below the 43 level, with all previous instances recorded during periods of sharp repricing before a new trend emerged.
It is reported that the correction in the general cryptocurrency market was effective in the recent decline. According to CoinCodex data, XRP has lost approximately 43.9% since the beginning of the year. The asset traded at $1.22 at the time of the news.
This retreat erased a significant part of the momentum generated during the previous uptrend. Market sentiment also appears to have shifted to a more cautious line.
Print in progress in chart view
However, the entire technical outlook does not present an optimistic picture. Market analyst ChartNerd stated that the broader price structure still carries downward pressure. According to the analyst, after the 20- and 50-day exponential moving average intersection occurred on the five-day chart in November 2025, XRP attempted to recover twice, but both attempts failed.
The first attempt at an uptrend stalled at the 50-day exponential moving average around $2.40 in January. This move resulted in the price falling towards $1.11 after forming a lower high. The second attempt was blocked at the 20-day exponential moving average near $1.54 in May, reinforcing that the downward trend was maintained.
Mini dictionary: RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and strength of price movement. EMA, on the other hand, is a moving average that gives more weight to recent price data and is often used to monitor short-term trend changes.
Buyers and sellers face a critical threshold
The highlight of the analysis was that XRP produced two opposite signals at the same time. On one side is a historically rare RSI reset, while on the other side is the weak chart pattern that maintains the lower top structure. This indicates that the search for direction may continue in the short term.
According to ChartNerd’s assessment, the cautious outlook can be expected to remain dominant unless the price breaks above key moving averages and breaks the sequence of lower highs. Therefore, investors are watching to see whether the latest signal signals a long-term reversal or a temporary pause within a deeper correction.
