After the gradual decline in recent months, XRP has approached the support zone again, where strong buying interest is seen in 2026. The asset is trading again in the $1.05 to $1.10 range after falling below important technical levels. XRP is known for its cross-border payment usage as a crypto asset linked to Ripple.
Weakness continues in the technical outlook
The technical structure on the chart has not gained strength yet. The $1.28 level, which stabilized the price throughout most of the spring, was broken downwards. While this break invalidated the months-long compression structure, it also increased the selling pressure and moved the price to a lower band.
The prominent picture for XRP in the short term is that with the loss of the $1.28 support, sales accelerated and the price retreated to the range of $1.05 and $1.10.
Since then, the 50-day moving average has provided resistance to every attempt at recovery. This indicates that the influence of sellers continues in the general trend. However, the current price area overlaps with the area where there was a strong reaction in the previous part of the year. It is considered common for markets to retest important supports before permanent bottoms are formed.
On-chain data gives mixed signals
On-chain indicators paint a more cautious picture. Both the number and volume of XRP payments have decreased significantly in the last month. This decline is attributed to weakening network activity and reduced speculative interest.
Mini-dictionary: On-chain data are measurements such as the number of transactions, transfer volume, and address movements recorded directly on a blockchain network. This data is used to track whether market interest is rising or falling.
While the downward trend in the number of transactions was maintained, there was also a significant decline in the payment volume, which had previously exceeded 1 billion XRP in busy periods. Under normal circumstances, such data would support a more negative outlook. However, periods when market sensitivity and efficiency are weakest may occasionally coincide with bottom formations.
The levels to be monitored have become clear
Momentum indicators show signs of stabilization, albeit limited. The Relative Strength Index is trending close to the oversold zone and not producing new lows, although the price remains weak. Such divergences can be seen in the final stages of the selling wave.
In the near term, two thresholds stand out for buyers: retracing the 50-day moving average at around $1.18 and maintaining the $1.05 to $1.10 support zone.
If these two conditions are met, the broader resistance area between $1.28 and $1.34 may come to the fore again. However, in the current outlook, XRP remains below all major moving averages. Therefore, a return to the 2026 bottom zone does not by itself mean a change in direction; It will be decisive whether market confidence can be re-established.
