Bitcoin and similar risky assets have become more sensitive day by day to US President Donald Trump’s social media posts and policy announcements. The President’s statements can trigger sudden upward or downward movements in the markets in a very short time. This trend has led to a lot of analysis and discussion in both crypto and traditional markets.
How do Trump’s statements affect market behavior?
Academics, lawmakers and market experts have raised the question of whether these moves create an environment conducive to market manipulation or insider trading. According to the latest research by Oxford University Faculty of Law, global markets and especially cryptocurrencies experienced serious fluctuations after the rapid changes made by the USA in tariffs. The reversal of the decisions, especially after the previous negative decisions regarding tariffs, brought about a scenario in which the sharp declines in prices quickly recovered.
The study authors emphasized that such political maneuvers create great opportunities for “sophisticated” investors. Trump’s inconsistent and frequently changing decisions are called “TACO (Trump Again Chickens Out)”, especially in financial circles. These criticisms point out that constantly changing decisions creates unpredictability in the market.
Question marks and review requests in the markets
In April 2025, Trump’s statement on Truth Social, “NOW IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!”, which soon brought intervention to the markets. His post caught the attention of some US lawmakers in particular. Many people, especially Senator Adam Schiff, demanded that the incident be investigated on suspicion of such manipulative or insider transactions.
Many analyst and media reports point out that large-scale, instantaneous and well-timed transactions are occurring repeatedly in both the commodity and crypto worlds. Some transactions have been made just before significant policy or military announcements.
“Many experts point out that the Trump administration is engaging in market manipulation,” the statement was featured on CBC’s March program Front Burner. In particular, oil contracts related to the war with Iran were given as examples of transactions that made huge profits before the announcement.
Democratic Congressman Stephen Lynch brought up the sudden increases in transaction volume associated with critical statements with the following words: “It is alarming that government officials with national security knowledge are trading with inside information and manipulating the markets.”
Trump effect on Bitcoin: Five important events
While there is no evidence that Trump or his team directly violated securities laws, the rapid succession of market moves and vague language in policy are fueling debate that the line is becoming increasingly blurred.
There have been a number of remarkable movements in Bitcoin prices in recent years, triggered by Trump’s statements. After the “I don’t like Bitcoin” message made on Twitter on July 11, 2019, Bitcoin fell by 7.1 percent in 45 minutes. After the “Strategic Crypto Reserve” step was announced on March 3, 2025, Bitcoin rose 8.2 percent in less than 24 hours; It rose from $84,000 to over $91,000. CryptoAppsy According to data, with the 100 percent tariff applied to China on October 10, 2025, Bitcoin hit a record at $124,714, losing 12.4 percent in value within two hours, falling to $102,000, and a liquidation of $19.38 billion occurred in one day.
On March 3, 2026, when banks were criticized for the “Genius Act”, Bitcoin increased by 5.2 percent in just 10 minutes and reached $71,000. After the statements that eased tensions in the Gulf of Oman on April 14, 2026, Bitcoin rose from $ 70,000 to $ 75,000 in 30 minutes, making a 6.2 percent premium.
Most recently, on Friday, when Trump declared that the war was over and the Strait of Hormuz was fully opened, Bitcoin surpassed its two-month high and rose above $78,000. However, the next day, with the new closure announcement from the Iranian military and the news that commercial ships were opened fire, the price quickly gave back its gains and Bitcoin fell below $ 76,000.
