Arthur Hayes, one of the founders of BitMEX, maintains ambitious price predictions for Bitcoin. Hayes, who is known in the cryptocurrency market, predicts that the level of 250 thousand dollars can be seen in 2026 and 750 thousand dollars in 2027. This approach of Hayes focuses on liquidity dynamics rather than technical analysis.
Liquidity Cycle and Government Spending
Arthur Hayes argues that the possible Trump administration will heavily pour money into the market to support growth and soften the reaction of the voter base. Pointing out that the amount of money circulating in the financial system will increase with the increase in economic incentives, Hayes states that this wave will highlight supply-limited assets such as Bitcoin.
According to Hayes’s thesis, the increasing spending tendency of governments leads to a depreciation in currencies, while increasing the likelihood that investors will turn to digital assets with limited supply. In this context, the prediction that Bitcoin may increase in value exponentially from its current levels draws attention.
Geopolitical Developments and the Effect of Monetary Expansion
Hayes also touches on geopolitical risks. He argues that a prolonged tension between the USA and Iran may constitute a reason for the Central Bank to loosen its monetary policy. Pointing out that historically liquidity generally increased during war periods, Hayes emphasizes that conflicts financed by debt were met by printing money.
Arthur Hayes argues that geopolitical risks and expansionary monetary policies of governments will trigger a serious increase in value on supply-constrained assets such as Bitcoin.
It is predicted that the Bitcoin price, which is currently around 65 thousand dollars, may rise to 250 thousand dollars and then to 750 thousand dollars in the next two years. This scenario represents a more than tenfold increase from current values.
Corporate Capital Flow and Technical Outlook
Hayes’ predictions are not based solely on government policies; The entry of institutional investors into the market also stands out as an important factor. There was a new inflow of $458 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs operating in the USA in the last trading day. BlackRock’s IBIT product accounted for $263 million of this figure.
On the technical side, the $63,000 level remains the main support. It is stated that the upward trend continues as long as this level can be maintained. Exceeding the 72 thousand dollar threshold is seen as a sign of new historical peaks. However, it is evaluated that a deeper correction may occur if it falls below the 60 thousand dollar level. For now, the $72,000 level plays a decisive role in the rise gaining new momentum.
