Bitcoin 
$110,906.72It is stated that investors who estimate that they will reach the loop summit until the end of this year may have misunderstood the statistical principles.
Is the summit in Bitcoin another spring?
Many analysts have recently made various predictions about the future of Bitcoin. Bitcoin analyst Planc, in a sharing on platform X, “Bitcoin should peak in the fourth quarter of this year, everyone who thinks, does not understand statistics or probability,” he said.
Planc said that the situation is statistically and probably, “Throw a coin three times in a row, and the fourth shot is definitely equivalent to betting with all your money,” he said. According to him, relying on the previous three halving cycle is not enough to provide a statistically significant data.
Analyst also argued that the split cycle has lost its validity for Bitcoin, with the increase in Bitcoin treasury companies and important entries to US -based Spot Bitcoin ETFs. There have been discussions in the sector recently.
Planc, the summit to take place in the fourth quarter of 2025, psychological, self -realized prophecy, except for the zero basic reason, “he explained. According to Coings, the fourth quarter since 2013 has been a quarter of the best performance for Bitcoin with an average return of 85.42 %for Bitcoin.
However, if the cyclical cycle still persists, as mentioned by the analysts before, Bitcoin may enter a decline tendency at an early date, such as October.
Recently, investors have been divided into two as to whether Bitcoin will peak at the end of the year.
Does the bull market take it to 2026?
On August 17, Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg said, “Bitcoin is more than 50 %this year before seeing another bear market next year.”
Others expect the bull market to continue until 2026. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan said in July, “I bet 2026 will be the rise year,” he said.
Meanwhile, several analysts estimate that Bitcoin can reach $ 250,000 before the end of the year. In April 2025, Bitmex Founding Partner Arthur Hayes and only a month later, in May, the Unchained Market Research Director Joe Burnett made the same estimation.
In addition, the argument of Analyst Planc’s argument, especially the estimates based on the theory of the “split cycle” theory, emphasizes that only three data points (the previous three cycle cycle) are statistically weak.
Considering the unique structure of crypto currency markets and rapidly changing nature, it can be quite risky to make definitive estimates based on historical data. The dispute of different analysts on the year -end targets reinforces this situation. One side depends on the traditional cycle theory, while others think that new players and products that have just entered the market have changed the market structure permanently.
Responsibility Rejection: The information contained in this article does not contain investment advice. Investors should be aware that crypto currencies carry high volatility and thus risk and carry out their operations in line with their own research.
