A post recirculating on social media brought to the fore an anonymous prediction that was claimed to have predicted many price levels for Bitcoin between 2019 and 2024. The final target in the visual is 145 thousand dollars for October 2026. However, there are important question marks regarding the source of the data and visual shared.
Source chain cannot be verified
The screenshot shared by cryptocurrency account Corleone was presented as an anonymous 4chan-style post dated December 20, 2018. The image suggests that a particular group holds approximately 90 percent of the total Bitcoin supply, while various price targets ranging from October 2019 to October 2026 are listed.
At first glance, the predictions appear to be remarkably accurate. Bitcoin traded at around $67,000 in November 2021 and around $16,000 in November 2022 during the bottom of the bear market. For this reason, the post gained attention in a short time.
The predictions in the image appear to be unusually accurate at first glance, but there are multiple problems that make it difficult to accept this as an authentic and reliable record.
The biggest problem is that the post does not contain a verifiable archive link, user signature, or any trace of identification that can be linked to the same person. 4chan, by its nature, relies heavily on anonymous sharing. Therefore, without an archived source, it cannot be shown that the same person made these predictions before the events occurred.
There is a difference between the old version and the new image
A Binance Square post dated July 2024 included the same statement “we hold approximately 90 percent of the total supply” and similar targets. However, in this old version, the Bitcoin price for September 2024 was written as 105 thousand 400 dollars.
In the new viral image, the September 2024 level appears to be 74 thousand dollars, and in addition, a new target of 145 thousand dollars has been added for October 2026. This change strengthens the suspicion that the image or list of predictions may have been edited over time to better align with Bitcoin’s actual price movements.
The price difference between the old and new versions is considered a strong warning signal that the post may have been edited or reconstructed over time.
There is also an inconsistency in the market value calculation
The image also claims that this prediction will lead to a market value of $ 5.7 trillion and that Bitcoin dominance will be between 40 percent and 47 percent. However, when calculated at a price of $145,000 and approximately 20 million Bitcoins in circulation, the market value of Bitcoin reaches approximately $2.9 trillion. Even when calculated based on a maximum supply of 21 million, the value remains at approximately 3.05 trillion dollars.
Therefore, the $5.7 trillion figure does not match mathematically if used for Bitcoin. Although the total cryptocurrency market is meant, the statement is not clear and this does not prove the reality of the post.
The claim to retain 90 percent of the supply does not match the data
Another striking claim in the post is that approximately 90 percent of the total supply is in the hands of a certain group. Bitcoin’s circulating supply is approximately 20.04 million units and its maximum supply is 21 million units. Accordingly, 90 percent control corresponds to approximately 18 million Bitcoins.
According to Bitinfocharts data, the 100 largest Bitcoin addresses hold approximately 15.27 percent of the total supply, and the 10 largest addresses hold approximately 53.89 percent. Bitinfocharts is known as a data platform that tracks blockchain data through address distribution and richness rankings.
This chart shows that the 90 percent claim in the viral image is not supported by existing on-chain data. Therefore, the claim that an anonymous 4chan user correctly predicted major Bitcoin price movements through 2026 is unproven at this stage.
