Tariffs have made 2025 a torment for cryptocurrency investors. The price constantly went up and down every month with new tensions and news of whether it was understood or not understood. In 2026, Trump pulled the rabbit out of the hat and attacked Iran again, bringing uncertainty back. Nowadays we see the weather changing rapidly even in just a few hours. Bitcoin started to experience the same thing as in 2022. So what’s next?
Is Bitcoin heading to the bottom?
Bitcoin funding rate Darkfost, which calculates on a monthly basis, says that what happened in 2022 will happen again. While funding rates continue to remain bearish, the market has entered the disbelief phase. The disbelief phase is the key period for bottom formation, and if Bitcoin’s last attempt at $80,000 fails, both the news flow and technical analysis say that favorable conditions have occurred.
Binance The chart below, which shows the 30-day cumulative change in funding rates in the stock exchange, allows you to clearly identify that funding has entered a negative trend. As BTC began to emerge from the bear market in late 2022, funding rates continued to decline, falling as low as -7% on a 30-day aggregate basis.
“Today, the indicator stands at -4.5%, which highlights the degree to which traders have continued to take positions against the market in recent months. Each time such a strong consensus has formed, it has helped create a converse bottom and fueled the nascent rally.”
If the same happens again, we should see Bitcoin form a bottom and start to rise, just like the 2020, 2021 drop and the 2022 bottom. Although there is a risk of the bottom deepening as the negativity grows, the price may have already formed the bottom and started to rise. The Iranian agenda will be extremely decisive at this point.
What’s the agenda in cryptocurrencies?
At the time of writing, Trump is preparing to speak at an event on health care. The main item on investors’ agenda is, of course, Iran. We have seen many headlines that were later denied, from the claim of resignation in the negotiating team to the news that attacks on Lebanon have begun. Before BTC It falls, then the news is denied and BTC rises again. It was an interesting day.
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