The CLARITY Act, also known as the crypto market structure bill, is in its final week in April 2026, with no confirmed Senate markup date. This delay is raising serious concerns about its future.
Polymarket prediction odds have already dropped from nearly 80% to around 53%. Now, the big question is simple, will it pass in time or face another setback?
Last Week to Save the CLARITY Act
The Clarity Act, which already passed the House in July 2025 with strong bipartisan support of 294 to 134, has remained stuck. The key issue right now is timing, not support.
For the bill to move ahead, the Senate Banking Committee must schedule a markup. As of now, there is still no scheduled date for markup, which is the first step required before a full Senate vote.
As Senator Tim Scott warns, “No markup → no committee approval, no committee approval → no Senate floor vote.”
Without this step, the process cannot move forward to a full Senate vote. The April window is already closing, and if no action happens soon, it may miss the May 21 deadline.
After that, a busy schedule could delay it even further.
Key Issues Delaying the Crypto Bill Progress
The delay is mainly due to a few unresolved issues that still need agreement. Senate leadership has pointed to three key unresolved areas:
- Stablecoin reward rules
- Protections for DeFi developers
- Internal political alignment
At the same time, new resistance has emerged from law enforcement over DeFi provisions, adding another layer of delay.
Why Timing Matters More Than Policy Now
Even though the bill is stronger in terms of support, the biggest risk now is timing.
Market sentiment is already reacting to the delay.
On prediction platform Polymarket, odds for the bill passing in 2026 have fallen from around 70%–80% earlier this year to nearly 53% now, clearly showing growing concern over the slowdown.
Senator Bernie Moreno warned,
“If the bill does not reach the Senate floor by May, it gets buried by midterm politics.”
Meanwhile, Senator Cynthia Lummis cautioned it could be delayed “until 2030.”
What Happens If the Clarity Act Fails?
If the Clarity Act does not pass, the US crypto industry could return to uncertainty. As one outcome highlights, “No clear rules, no institutional framework, no legal certainty.”
Major firms like JPMorgan believe that if passed, the bill could reshape the market and bring in institutional capital waiting on the sidelines. At the same time, players like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase are closely watching its progress.
If the Senate Banking Committee schedules a markup soon, the bill could still reach the Senate floor before the May 21 deadline.
If not, the legislative calendar becomes a major obstacle. After May, the election season takes over, and the bill could be delayed for years.
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