The third district appeals court in the USA ruled in favor of Kalshi in the long-running jurisdictional dispute between the digital prediction market Kalshi and the state of New Jersey. The court ruled that New Jersey had no express jurisdiction over the sports-related contracts submitted by Kalshi and regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Court decision and attitudes of the parties
Last year, Kalshi took several states, including New Jersey, to court over restraining orders against him offering sports-themed conventions. Kalshi argued that it is a CFTC-regulated commodity exchange and that national legislation, namely the Commodity Exchange Act, trumps state regulations. New Jersey, on the other hand, argued that existing laws took precedence, stating that such contracts were subject to a state ban.
In its 2-1 decision, the appeals court underlined that only the federal regulator has authority over sports-focused contracts offered on exchanges authorized and monitored by the CFTC. In contrast, the dissenting judge argued that Kalshi’s offered products actually contained a form of betting based on sports activities.
In its opinion, the court said, “Congress gave the CFTC exclusive authority to act on DCMs. By contrast, transactions outside the DCM remain subject to state oversight. Although sports contracts are considered games, it was held that the CFTC has the authority to review and prohibit these contracts.” He included his statements.
CFTC’s position and industry influence
The CFTC has previously sided with the market in the recent discussions in the prediction markets. The federal agency had initiated a lawsuit against the states of Arizona, Illinois and Connecticut in recent weeks in order to remove some of the blocking decisions taken by these states.
Kalshi, on the other hand, operates as a CFTC-approved digital contracting platform in the US, which is at the center of the case. The company claims that the prediction contracts used on its exchange were developed with transparency and fair market principles.
Following the decision, Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, described the result as an important gain for the company in his evaluation on social media.
“People prefer prediction markets because they are more fair, transparent and reward those who make accurate predictions. Free markets should continue to function.”
The court’s decision set an important precedent for digital contracting platforms licensed and regulated by the CFTC to continue their operations across state borders. The regulatory authority debate, which came to the fore during the litigation process, brought to the agenda how the boundaries between state and federal organizations in the USA are reflected in sectoral practices.
On the other hand, the dissenting judge’s assessment that “Kalshi is operating based on any sporting event by playing a facilitating role and should therefore be subject to state legislation” also revealed that there are different perspectives on market regulations.


