The war continues at full speed and the USA opened the Iran front before the Ukraine front was closed. For the first time today, Trump allowed journalists to ask whatever he wanted. As far as I understand from your statements, the attacks will not stop before 1 month or until the Iranian regime changes completely. Trump talks about completely destroying the military. Alright Ripple (XRP) In particular, does the current situation offer an attractive entry point?
Appetite for Cryptocurrency
Nasdaq Futures fell by up to 2.5% today and gold fell to $5,100. Oil continues its double-digit rise as US markets open lower. Oil, which has exceeded 85 dollars for the first time since July 2024, has now reached a point where its “inflationary” effects are taken seriously. EU gas prices rose 90 percent while QatarEnergy was forced to halt flows. This year may be the period when interest rate cuts will be replaced by increases.
- QatarEnergy, the world’s largest LNG producer, has halted production due to military strikes and has also shut down downstream production including urea, polymer, methanol and aluminium.
- Saudi Aramco shuts down key Ras Tanura refinery over drone crackdown.
- Aramco is investigating a plan to export oil through the Red Sea to avoid Hormuz.
- Russia’s Rosatom company stopped its activities in Iran.
- Production in Shafaq, Iraq’s largest oil field, has been suspended.
- The US has days, not weeks, to reopen the Strait of Hormuz; Once the jammed tankers are full, regional oil producers will be forced to slow production, further increasing the price (because they have no storage space). Iraq announced that it may have to stop production of 3 million barrels.
What will determine this is how long the tension with Iran will continue. cryptocurrencies Since it priced the attacks in advance, and priced them excessively, it has risen for 4 days instead of falling as much as feared. BTC maintains $68 thousand. However, the indirect effects of the Iran war, inflationary consequences and other risks may cause the risk appetite in crypto to decrease again in a few weeks.
Iran fired more than 1,200 drones and more than 300 missiles. Compared to last year’s 12-day war, the UAE alone accounted for almost more than half of the ammunition consumed in 2025. This shows that Iran is using its missile and UAV stocks aggressively. So how long do they have ammunition to last? If they continue at this pace, Iran may need to consider its decreasing ammunition stock and sit down in a few weeks. But trump He talks about completely destroying the army when its missiles run low and he wants to shape the administration exactly the way he wants.
- Kuwait: 178 ballistic missiles, 384 unmanned aerial vehicles were intercepted.
- UAE: 169 of 182 missiles intercepted (rest crashed into sea); 645 unmanned aerial vehicles were intercepted, 44 of them were shot down on the country’s territory.
- Bahrain: 70 missiles, 76 unmanned aerial vehicles were intercepted.
- Qatar: 101 of 104 missiles intercepted; 24 of 39 drones were intercepted; 2 Iranian SU-24 bombers were shot down.
- Saudi Arabia: 8 drones intercepted near Riyadh and Al-Kharj; The US Embassy was hit by suspected Iranian drones.
Even though the stocks are against Iran, the cost curve is against the USA. Compared to 20-50 thousand dollar Shahed unmanned aerial vehicles and 4 million dollar US interceptor missiles, it generates quite large figures. Patriot missiles achieve intercept rates of over 90% — but at an unsustainable cost rate. Qatar’s stockpile of Patriot interceptors has dwindled to a level that will only last 4 days at the current usage rate per BBG. UAE requests medium-range air defense assistance; Qatar, on the other hand, wants help especially against unmanned aerial vehicles.
Can I Buy Ripple (XRP)?
In the first part, we talked about its evolution in detail and its geopolitical and economic risks. In summary, the inference to be made here is this;
“If Iran stops its attacks and sits at the negotiation table within 1, maximum 2 weeks, cryptocurrency and therefore XRP Coin purchases can bring investors profits.
However, the prolongation of the process is to the detriment of cryptocurrencies. While there is currently a lot of room for decline, the resumption of sales in cryptocurrencies as a result of the prolongation of the process may cause new annual lows to be formed.
Trump’s persistent statement that he has initiated the movement that will save Iran from the aggressive government forever indicates that this work may not be completed in 1-2 weeks. Conditions are much different than in 2025, and Iran has less to lose compared to the 12-day war. “If the USA cannot destroy Iran from within, the process will take longer anyway.”
So let’s look at the targets for 2 scenarios. XRP Coin ETF It remains well within its channel and is strongly defending the $1.33 support. If the process does not extend, we can see that $ 1.47 is taken back and $ 1.648 is targeted. Then, the bulls will set their sights on a rise to the $1,837 base.
In the opposite scenario, support is lost and it drops to $1,215. Since there is no other strong support up to $1, it would not be surprising if the price wicks at $0.98 and below.
