As Bitcoin re-approaches a structural turning point seen as critical in classic market cycles, movements on the price chart paint a picture similar to patterns seen in past cycles. It is stated in the market that the macro structure of the price has remained largely unchanged since the early days of Bitcoin. It is reported that current technical data stands out as the main determinant of whether this cycle will proceed differently from history.
Technical Thresholds and New Cycle Scenario
According to an assessment by cryptocurrency market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, three critical technical levels need to be closely monitored to understand whether Bitcoin’s current cycle is progressing differently from previous major cycles. The first is a significant and strong close in the price above the $74,000 level. This level is considered the first technical signal as to whether the current pattern will be broken or not.
Secondly, it is considered important for the price to permanently hold above the level of approximately $60,000 seen on February 6, 2026. This figure stands out as the structural baseline of the current cycle. Finally, a permanent close of the price above the level of approximately $ 87,000, where the 100-day exponential moving average intersects, is cited as an indicator confirming that the long-term trend has moved into a new regime.
Scenario in which Critical Levels Cannot Be Exceeded
If the current cycle does not show a permanent progress at the mentioned technical levels, it stands out that there is no structural deviation from the previous macro framework. In this case, it is emphasized that price movements will continue to follow the broad market pattern known from history.
So, any bullish attempts without a strong break above the $74,000 level are considered unconfirmed. A loss near the $60,000 level could lead to a weakening of the current structure. The failure to close above the 100-day exponential moving average of $87,000 shows that there is no fundamental break from Bitcoin’s cyclical pattern.
Turning Point in Price Behaviors
Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO points out that the cycle structure, which has a clear attitude from a technical point of view, may gain a different character with closings at certain price levels. It is stated that gradually 74,000 and then 60,000 dollars should work as continuous support, and then the long-term averages around 87,000 dollars should be exceeded. The analyst used the following statements:
“A close above $74,000 may cause the cycle to follow a different course. Staying above the $60,000 level preserves structural integrity, and a permanent close above the 100 EMA, that is, approximately $87,000, clearly signals a break from the historical cycle.”
It is reported that the current market order continues without passing these technical levels and some differences may only be seen in terms of timing.
