The US economy is growing, employment is recovering, and if inflation remains sticky on Friday, the pressure on risk markets will increase. Medium-term forecast by cryptocurrency oracle Roman Trading BTC price His goal was almost reached and BTC fell $60 thousand from where he said “buy”. So what happens now? What does the world uncertainty and fear index tell us?
Cryptocurrency Oracle
The analyst with the pseudonym Roman Trading has been working since the second half of last year until today. of Bitcoin He says it will drop to 56 thousand dollars. Even when BTC was pushing 120 levels, the analyst who said “buy it is not worth the risk” was right. Those who listened to him last year doubled the BTC they sold at the peak this month. The analyst, who drew attention to the weakening volume in the rise by looking at the MACD and RSI indicators, said the following today while waiting for the day when he would be wrong:
“(Quoting the post he made in October 2025, when BTC was close to its peak) I always see something like “Selling the peak of BTC was very difficult.” Actually, it was not difficult at all.
All signs were obvious to start recovery around 100-115 thousand. There were many signs of fatigue, record spot sales and an 800% increase from the lows.
“I think people chose to ignore these signs out of excitement/ignorance.”
The analyst who shared the chart above said that his bottom target is theoretically 30-35 thousand dollars, but he will start DCA earlier.
“BTCas shown above, typically declines around 80% during bear markets.
If the same trend continues, the market bottom will be around 30-35 thousand. Personally, I do not believe it will drop this much and I will start doing DCA around 50 thousand.”
What is DCA? “Dollar Cost Averaging” (DCA) is one of the most frequently used and considered safest investment strategies in the cryptocurrency markets. We can give an example by making a regular BTC purchase of $100, for example, on the 1st of each month. When the price is rising, you don’t buy at the top because you “miss out”, and when the price is falling, you don’t sell because you are “missing out”. Like an automatic robot, you just stick to your plan. If you bought high and the price dropped, you would bring your cost average down by adding at the lower price. This way, you can make a profit even before the price reaches its previous peak.
World Fear Index
Crypto fear and greed index While it dropped to 6, Trump also brought the world’s fear index to incredible levels. Global uncertainty has reached levels never seen before due to the accelerated agenda for more than a year.
“The World Uncertainty Index has reached an all-time high. If you feel like everything is uncertain, trust that feeling.” – Ki Young Ju
Considering that Bitcoin is becoming more famous as an asset that prices risk, this situation is to the detriment of the markets.
When the decline continues Bitcoin Where is the next possible bottom for ? On-Chain Mind wrote that with the loss of 90 thousand dollars, the possibility of 70 thousand dollars clearly emerged due to the upward chart. The bottom of this range is 57 thousand dollars and the ceiling is 72 thousand dollars.
