FOMC Meeting Today [LIVE] Updates

Recent economic data, including durable goods orders and labor market figures, support the Federal Reserve’s decision to remain patient. The U.S. economy continues to show underlying strength, giving policymakers flexibility to delay rate cuts. Officials are expected to closely monitor inflation and employment trends before adjusting policy.

Investors are less focused on an immediate rate change and more attentive to future policy signals from the Federal Reserve. Analysts believe the FOMC will hold rates steady while offering limited guidance on upcoming decisions. Any hint toward future rate cuts could influence market sentiment, even if no action is taken this week.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its two-day policy meeting this week, as inflation continues to run above the central bank’s 2% target. Former Fed Vice Chair Roger Ferguson said policymakers appear comfortable waiting for more data before making any moves. With economic indicators showing resilience, the Fed is expected to maintain a cautious, wait-and-see stance.

A rate pause is almost certain, with 97.2% odds of a 0 bps change, so the decision itself may not move markets much. The real focus is Jerome Powell’s tone. If he stays firm on rates, the US dollar could strengthen and bond yields may rise, which usually pressures risk assets like Bitcoin. What the Fed signals about inflation, jobs, and future cuts will matter far more than the rate decision itself.

Bitcoin often sees sharp moves around FOMC meetings, and history suggests caution. In 2025, BTC fell after 7 of 8 Fed meetings, with drops ranging from –6% to –29%. Only one meeting triggered a brief rally.For 2026’s first meeting, the chance of a rate cut is just 2.8%, meaning no major support from lower rates is expected. While markets usually turn hopeful before the Fed decision, Bitcoin has mostly reacted negatively afterward. FOMC weeks remain high-risk periods for volatility and downside moves.

The Federal Reserve begins its FOMC meeting today, with markets expecting no interest rate cut for now. Official data shows inflation holding steady, while job numbers remain strong, giving the Fed room to wait. Policymakers are also cautious because recent inflation and labor figures were affected by the 2025 government shutdown. However, independent price data paints a different picture, showing a sharp drop in inflation in January. For now, the Fed is likely to stay patient and watch the data closely.