While the cryptocurrency market is entering 2026 with sharp fluctuations, XRP, the main network asset of the Ripple ecosystem, has come under pressure again after its strong rise in a short time. The price, which attracted attention with double-digit increases in the first days of January, turned downwards due to the influence of global political developments. While the geopolitical tension, which increased with US President Donald Trump’s statements towards Greenland, triggered sales in risky assets, XRP also got its share of this wave. In market comments, three different scenarios stand out for the coming week.
Downward and Upward Scenarios for XRP
XRP, which rose from below $1.90 to $2.40 in the first week of January, lost its momentum after January 6 and fell back to its starting levels. Market evaluations emphasize that the $1.90 level is a critical threshold. If this area breaks down permanently, there is a possibility that the price will drop below $1.80 and drop to $1.70.
Analyzes attribute a probability of approximately 30-35 percent to this decline scenario. The loss of the $1.80 band, where buyers stepped in in the past months, stands out as a factor that could further weaken the technical outlook. The fact that risk appetite remains low in global markets and there is no clear direction for Bitcoin are among the main factors supporting downward pressure.
On the other hand, in the more optimistic scenario, it is stated that XRP may recover towards around $ 2.30 in the short term. It is stated that for such a move to occur, the $ 2.05–2.10 range must become support with strong volume. However, it is emphasized that such a rise will depend on general market strength rather than XRP-specific developments.
Consolidation Expectation and Market Dynamics
It is noteworthy that in expert comments, the highest probability is a horizontal trend. While the first three weeks of the year have only passed, the fact that XRP has produced more than one double-digit price movement in a short time increases the market’s need for a breather. For this reason, it seems possible that the price will be stuck in the $ 1.85-$ 2.05 range and look for direction.
There is a probability of around 40-45 percent for this consolidation. The current technical structure shows that there is no clear advantage between buyers and sellers. If Bitcoin continues its sideways movement, XRP is expected to trade in a similar narrow band.
Horizontal pricing can create an environment that requires patience for investors trading in the short term. However, the view that such a process is healthy in terms of balancing technical indicators and laying the groundwork for a new breakout in the market also stands out. Market participants will continue to closely monitor global risk headlines and the direction of leading crypto assets throughout the coming week.
