In the first minutes of 2026 cryptocurrency Nothing much has changed in the markets and serious volatility is not expected at the close 2.5 hours later due to the holiday. 2025 has been a tiring year, with non-crypto agendas heavily influencing the charts. Now is the time to start a new year, leaving all fatigue behind. So, what are the first predictions of the new year for Bitcoin?
Painful Truths in Crypto
The analyst with the pseudonym CryptoCon shared the chart below and said that those who are still expecting a rise will be disappointed. BTC Although it reduces the rate of gain in each cycle, it reaches new peaks. If you remember, in 2023, we wrote and calculated that we could see a peak of around 120 thousand dollars for the last cycle. As a matter of fact, BTC 2025 peaked at the expected level of 126 thousand dollars in the last quarter. If the story of decreasing earnings rate from cycle to cycle and the 4-year peak is real, in 2026 cryptocurrencies He will not have good days.
The analyst with the pseudonym CryptoCon also rubs this fact in investors’ faces and says, “Get used to the decline now.”
“I’m sorry, but it’s disingenuous to say that the bottom is here or that the cycle has “just begun.”
Bitcoin had a great ride between $16,500 and $124,000.
Markets are generally overheated. Gambling has become widespread (prediction markets, trading cards, splitting the price of precious metals, etc.). It won’t be long before we see the decline accelerating. (As the hype precious metals haven’t seen in decades reverses crypto- He says it in the sense that it will also fall.)
There Will Be No Repeat in 2022
first of 2026 Bitcoin I prepared a conflict of ideas that would be perfect for your analysis. CryptoCon tells us that we are in 2022. We discussed the details of this in the first episode. Altcoin Sherpa, on the contrary, states that we are not in the April 2022 period and in cryptocurrencies He says old times will not repeat.
“Some people think we will be in April 2022 for BTC; I personally do not believe this. I am one of those who believe that 4-year cycles are mostly over and we will have a lot of squeezes/surges with movements between 10-30% for most of each year.
The biggest difference I see between now and 2022 is that 2021 has been so crazy that we’ve had a 10-60k increase. There was no similar move this time, with all moves mostly spread out over 2024 and 2025, with major periods of consolidation in between.
I’m not saying it’s impossible for us to be in the same situation. If so, bitcoin will experience another drop of over 30% to 50 thousand, which would mean a 50% retreat from the peak. Of course, this is a possibility, but I still believe there will be a modest increase in the first quarter of 2026, and mostly the same price movement we have seen since 2024 will continue: long periods of volatility and 10-30% movements, while altcoins will experience a 2-5x increase in a few months followed by a 70-90% decline.”
Sherpa clearly says that there will be no decreases of up to 70%.
We will continue to see price fluctuations due to news tracking in the new year. That’s why it’s important to stay up to date and compatible with every phone. CryptoAppsy The application meets this need. It can make your job easier this year with its live news feed and comprehensive summaries.
