As the end of the year approaches XRP A cautious outlook prevails in the forecasts for . Prediction markets are that the price will move gradually rather than a sharp jump. According to the data shared by analyst CryptoSenseii, expectations for the end of the year view the threshold of $ 3 as a low probability scenario. Famous artificial intelligence model GeminiAccording to prediction market data provided by , XRP is very close to closing in the annual $1.50-$2 band. The expectation of a strong rally in the first months of the new year has weakened significantly as the horizontal course continues.
Why is Above $3 Seen as Low Probability for XRP?
Analyst CryptoSenseiiPrediction market data cited by ‘s point to a 4 percent chance of XRP rising above $3 before the end of the year. The most likely scenario compiled by Gemini in the prediction markets is that the year will close between 1.50 and 2 dollars, with a rate of 63 percent. The fact that levels such as $ 10, $ 50 or $ 100, which are frequently mentioned as higher targets, are not among the options shows that market participants keep their expectations within a narrow band.
The withdrawal of optimism is caused by the price not gaining momentum for a long time. cryptocurrency marketThe recent increasing fluctuation in general also has an impact. Bitcoin 
$87,777.17While billions of dollars of profit sales in , reduced confidence in the market, the fragility in risk appetite altcoinIt makes ‘s short-term goals more prudent. Still, long-term investors continue their purchases, seeing the consolidation period as an accumulation opportunity.
ETFs, Liquidity and the Narrative to 2026
The frequently emphasized approach on the corporate side liquiditythat it attracts new liquidity. The rise of cryptocurrency ETFs and the opening of XRP-linked ETFs to transactions stand out as a channel that can add depth to the market. Experts state that ETFs do not replace direct ownership, but rather can increase direct holding interest, similar to examples seen in both crypto and traditional markets such as precious metals.
In the short term, whale transactions are positioned as a pressure factor that can reverse the wind for XRP. Against this ETF Continued inflows and development of institutional-scale lending infrastructure may shift the narrative in altcoin from pure speculation to “real-world financial benefit”.
CEO of Canary Capital Steven McClurg In his last market assessment, he pointed to 2026 for the cycle peak. McClurg cited the adoption of ETFs instead of short-term price forecasting and the expansion of the XRP Ledger’s functionality as justification for this expectation.
CryptoAppsy According to data, XRP is trading at $ 1.89, decreasing by 1.44 percent in the last 24 hours.
