Cardano is sitting at a crucial point, with price hovering around $0.24 after a prolonged decline. The asset is down over 40% in the past three months and remains far below its previous highs. Despite the weak price action, on-chain data is starting to show a different trend building beneath the surface.
Whale Activity Climbs to 4-Month High
Recent Santiment data shows a steady rise in large holders. Wallets holding at least 10 million ADA have climbed to 424, marking the highest level since December. This increase has come during a period of falling prices, which often points to large players accumulating quietly while broader sentiment remains weak.
This type of divergence has historically appeared near important turning points, where bigger investors position early before any wider recovery begins.
Derivatives Show Ongoing Pressure
At the same time, the derivatives market paints a softer picture. Futures open interest has dropped by around 8% in just 24 hours, with long positions taking the biggest hit. Funding rates have also turned negative, showing that short sellers currently dominate the market.
This combination suggests that while large wallets are building positions, short-term traders remain defensive and are still betting on further downside.
ADA Price Testing Support Range
From a technical view, ADA is trading within a crucial support range between $0.22 and $0.28. This zone has previously acted as a base for strong rebounds and now stands as the most important level in the current structure.
Crypto analyst Alpha Crypto Signal noted that ADA recently moved out of a descending wedge on lower timeframes and pushed toward the $0.27–$0.29 area. However, failure to sustain this move could bring the price back into the range.
“ADA now pushing into prior supply, but holding above the breakout zone keeps the bias bullish. As long as ADA sustains above this level, continuation toward 0.27–0.29 is likely.”
Double Bottom on the way?
The next few sessions are likely to be decisive. Holding above support while accumulation continues could help stabilize the price and gradually change the structure.
At the same time, another X user points to a possible double bottom alongside a falling wedge reversal, suggesting a larger cycle shift could develop if the structure confirms. For now, Cardano remains at a central inflection point, balancing between continued downside pressure and early signs of accumulation building underneath.
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