XRP is once again making headlines. After briefly rallying to $1.46 over the weekend, the token quickly pulled back to the $1.37–$1.38 range, supporting what many experts have warned about for months: low-volume weekend pumps are hard to trust and easy to manipulate. The rally faded just as quickly as it appeared.
But here’s where things get controversial.
Crypto analyst Zach Rector said that the absolute bottom may not be in yet. At the same time, he argues that several classic “bottom signals” are starting to flash, and that retail investors could be making a costly mistake by selling now.
On-Chain Activity Is Surging
Despite weak price action, XRP Ledger activity is rising. Daily successful transactions have jumped roughly 40 percent, approaching 2.5 million per day.
Some of that spike is tied to technical factors, including NFT burns by SBI Holdings related to Expo 2025, as well as increased deposit and withdrawal flows. There is also speculation that the First Ledger XRP/USDT incentive program is driving fresh activity.
Whatever the reason, real network usage is climbing, even while price remains below key moving averages.
That disconnect is raising eyebrows.
Retail Capitulation Hits Extreme Levels
Data shows XRP has recorded its largest realized loss spike since 2022. The previous time realized losses reached similar levels, XRP went on to surge 114 percent over the following eight months.
Large realized losses happen when investors sell at prices below what they originally paid. It usually signals fear, panic, and exhaustion.
Historically, that kind of extreme fear has appeared near market bottoms.
The controversial view? If weak hands have already sold, there may be fewer sellers left. And because crypto markets require relatively little new liquidity to move sharply, even modest buying pressure could trigger a powerful rebound.
Double Bottom or Deeper Flush?
Technically, XRP previously retested the $1.11 area earlier this month. Some traders now expect a possible double bottom between $1.20 and $0.95 before any sustained rally begins. Others warn that macro risks, including geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainty — could add more volatility before a recovery.
The CME gap near $1.74 remains a potential upside magnet, but only if momentum returns.
Drama, Fear, and Opportunity
Adding to the tension is visible frustration within the XRP community itself. Disputes among validators, influencers, and traders have intensified. Ironically, seasoned market watchers often view peak frustration as a psychological bottom signal.
The bold claim circulating in some corners? XRP could double quickly once sentiment flips, catching sidelined investors off guard.
Of course, no outcome is guaranteed. The market could revisit $1, or even break below it, before any sustained move higher.
But one thing is clear: XRP is approaching a pivotal moment. Whether this is the final shakeout before a major rally or the start of a deeper reset depends on what happens next.
And as always in crypto, the crowd usually realizes it too late.
Trust with CoinPedia:
CoinPedia has been delivering accurate and timely cryptocurrency and blockchain updates since 2017. All content is created by our expert panel of analysts and journalists, following strict Editorial Guidelines based on E-E-A-T (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness). Every article is fact-checked against reputable sources to ensure accuracy, transparency, and reliability. Our review policy guarantees unbiased evaluations when recommending exchanges, platforms, or tools. We strive to provide timely updates about everything crypto & blockchain, right from startups to industry majors.
Investment Disclaimer:
All opinions and insights shared represent the author’s own views on current market conditions. Please do your own research before making investment decisions. Neither the writer nor the publication assumes responsibility for your financial choices.
Sponsored and Advertisements:
Sponsored content and affiliate links may appear on our site. Advertisements are marked clearly, and our editorial content remains entirely independent from our ad partners.
