Chainlink (LINK) price is hovering around the $8.8–$9 range after bouncing from recent lows. While the recovery has offered short-term relief, the bigger picture hasn’t changed yet. Price remains stuck below the key $10 resistance level, a zone that now carries both technical and psychological weight. With volatility tightening and the weekend ahead, traders are preparing for a potential breakout attempt.
The recent rebound came after LINK defended the $8 support area, which has acted as a demand zone in the past. However, the overall trend still shows a series of lower highs since November. The breakdown below $12 earlier confirmed bearish pressure, and so far, bulls haven’t reclaimed any major structural levels. That’s why the $9.5–$10 range matters so much.
Why is $10 a Make-or-Break Level for the LINK Price Rally?
The $10 zone isn’t just a round number. It aligns with a previous breakdown area and overlaps with visible supply on the daily chart. Past rallies stalled around similar zones, which suggests sellers remain active there. Volume expanded during the recent decline, indicating strong selling interest. Now, momentum indicators like CMF are slowly recovering toward neutral territory. That shows early signs of capital returning, but not aggressive accumulation yet. In simple terms, the bounce looks constructive but not convincing.
If buyers manage a strong daily close above $10 with solid volume, momentum could shift quickly. The next upside levels to watch would be $11.5 and then $12, a zone that previously triggered heavy selling. A move above $12 would be more meaningful. It would break the lower-high structure and suggest that bulls are regaining control. Until that happens, upside attempts remain vulnerable.
What if sellers step in again?
If LINK gets rejected near $9.5–$10, the broader bearish structure stays intact. In that case, price could drift back toward the $8 support zone. A breakdown below $8 would likely invite fresh selling pressure and could open the door toward $7. Given the recent compression in price, any strong move—up or down could accelerate quickly.
Factors That Could Influence LINK This Month
Beyond the chart, several factors could shape LINK’s next move:
- Bitcoin’s overall direction and market sentiment
- Upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data
- Funding rates and open interest in the derivatives market
- Institutional activity around LINK futures
- Network updates or ecosystem developments
Right now, technical structure remains the primary driver, but external catalysts could amplify the next breakout.
Final Thoughts
Chainlink is at a decision point. The $10 level stands as the immediate hurdle. A clean breakout could shift short-term momentum and push the price toward $12. But if resistance holds, the bearish trend may continue. For now, all eyes are on whether the LINK price can finally reclaim $10, or if this bounce fades into another lower high.
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