Acceptance Test at 200 Week Average
XRP price returned to its 200-week moving average at $1.41 with a sharp pullback following the distribution phase in the $3.3 – $3.6 region, according to TradingView data. This level, which has served as strong support in the past, currently functions as an “acceptance test” area rather than a “bounce of victory”. Although the price’s horizontal course in this region shows that investors have not yet surrendered, the lack of a strong upward momentum is noteworthy.
It is vital for the crypto asset to close above $ 1.41 on a weekly basis for the continuation of the bull scenario and the large-scale super cycle expectation. If this level can be maintained as a base, the current pullback could be described as a healthy correction. However, if the weekly candle bodies remain below this line, the uptrend may become invalid.
Despite the general pessimism in the market, the fact that XRP continues to attract interest on the institutional side is embodied by the weekly ETF inflow of $ 45 million. The sectoral interactions of Ripple executives and Elon Musk, who were invited to the White House, keep the fundamental analysis expectations on XRP alive. From a technical perspective, any move that fails to reach $2 remains a reaction rise, while defending $1.41 could mean setting the bottom of 2026.
The Structural Deficiency Behind the Rapid Decline
Losing 30% of its value in a short period of one week, XRP fell victim to the gaps created by vertical rises. The failure to create a permanent price structure in the range of 1.6 – 2 dollars destroyed the steps that the price could hold on when sales pressure came. The free fall of the price after the break in the distribution region proved once again how speculative the upward momentum is based.
If the 200-week average is lost, the next major demand zone is expected to be at $1 and below. Technical indicators indicate that a break below $1.41 could trigger a deeper correction to complete the “unfinished business” remaining from the accumulation phase. For investors, the $2.4 and $3 levels are not an open path at the moment, but are positioned as huge roadblocks that need to be overcome.
How the process progresses seems to depend on the continuity of institutional input and the flow of macroeconomic news. While Ripple’s contacts in the political arena and the moves of names such as Vitalik Buterin in other assets shake the market in general, whether XRP will maintain this line with its own internal dynamics will directly affect 2026 projections. Every close of the price in this zone is the biggest evidence that determines the direction of the long-term trend.
