If we tried to predict today from 2021, we probably could not predict many developments other than the six-digit BTC price. Our price predictions, especially regarding altcoins, would not come true and we could not think that the USA would rival El Salvador with its vision of becoming the crypto capital. So can we predict 4 years from now? Of course not.
4 Year Cryptocurrency Forecast
The cryptocurrency industry is still a very new field and therefore unpredictable. It’s like the early years of the internet. 10 years was a very long time for the development of the internet, and even a few years now hosts major developments. Crypto is also similar to the first 10-15 years of the internet in its current form. For the last 1 year of cryptocurrencies The role it has begun to acquire in the field of corporate finance with Trump’s support is a harbinger of how quickly it will grow.
Ark Invest made predictions for the next 4 years in its Big Ideas 2026 report. Expectations until 2030 total market value of cryptocurrencies It is predicted that it will reach 28 trillion dollars. Bitcoin will account for $16 trillion of this. In other words, roughly a 10-fold growth is predicted.
He expects the vast majority of cryptocurrencies, other than Bitcoin, to consist of just one category.
- Smart contract platforms. Like Solana and Ethereum. (And of course layer2 solutions.)
Startups that stand out in the field of onchain financial activities, tokenized securities and decentralized applications will also be able to survive. However, apart from BTC, they predict that two or maximum three layer1 solutions will dominate. In other words, there will be a third network other than Ethereum and Solana, and the rest will be much weaker. Of course, although Ethereum seems luckier, Solana’s second place is not guaranteed. Its advantage is strong network activity.
“The market value of smart contracts could grow at a rate of 54% annually to reach ~$6 trillion by 2030, as they generate ~$192 billion in annual revenue at an average annual rate of 0.75%.
“Two to three Layer 1 smart contract platforms should capture the lion’s share of the market, but capture more market value (store of value and reserve asset features) from discounted cash flows.”
How Many Dollars Will BTC Fall To?
glassnode According to data, 100-1,000 as of Wednesday. to BTC The smaller group of whales is in the fastest accumulation phase since 2013. These are called sharks. BTC shark net position change (30-day average) bought regardless of this week’s decline.
Lofty says that a perfect bull trap has formed as BTC cannot stay above the ascending channel and predicts that the BTC price may decline by tens of thousands of dollars.
Comparing the trends of 2021 and 2026, the analyst argues that the risk is strong despite the appetite in sharks.
