At the time of writing, the US market opening is minutes away and BTC is above $92,500. As a 2025 classic, we have always seen the decline begin within 1-2 hours of the US opening. Now we will see by experience whether the same thing happens again. So what’s the latest situation? Why is this week and next week so important?
US Markets and Crypto
Gold and the dollar rose after the ouster of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro stirred up geopolitical risks. Risk appetite in equities is steady and spot gold is lingering at $4,410, up 2%. Silver started the new year with a 3% gain, and the dollar index is experiencing the biggest rise in the last 2 weeks. A rally is possible here as DXY has been weakening for a long time.
Things are going well for tech stocks. Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.7%, micron And Intel Chip manufacturers such as rose 3% ahead of the market open. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% and the median cryptocurrencies nice for you. Trump continues to insist days before the Supreme Court decision, saying minutes ago that they have collected more than $600 billion in tariffs and will continue to do so. The White House expects the decision to be announced before the end of January.
Brent crude was volatile as investors assessed the impact of events in Caracas and Chevron rose 7% after Trump announced U.S.-led plans to revive Venezuela’s energy industry.
What to Expect in Cryptocurrencies
Today at 23:30, Trump will attend the policy meeting. Important data will not be announced throughout the day, but this week is critical. Although last month’s data was in favor of cryptocurrencies because they were insecure due to the government shutdown, it did not cause an increase. This week we will see the first real reports after the shutdown. We can say that employment will be x-rayed because all employment reports will be announced at once. These reports are important before the January interest rate decision.
Next week is the week when inflation reports will come. If employment weakens this week and inflation falls next week, we may see the rise in cryptocurrencies accelerate as long-standing sales are now exhausted.
MSCI decision It will arrive until January 15 and concerns all cryptocurrency reserve companies. Even though it is a negative development, we have largely priced this in throughout December. In the scenario where companies are forced to sell crypto after the Delist decision, negativity will continue to be priced. Supreme Court tariff decision It is expected to arrive this month, and if it is canceled, all the bargaining discussions, declines and rises we have experienced throughout 2025 will be wasted. Even though the White House said there was a plan B, the market fell a lot in December due to uncertainty. We will experience and see what happens. We expect high volatility in January.
Finally, Trump and Elon Musk made the call. They had dinner and it doesn’t look like their fight will continue ahead of the midterm elections.
BTC It has returned from the bear flag it broke below. Closing above $93,500 is essential for those aiming for $56,000 to be disappointed.
