While the cryptocurrency markets were shaken by harsh sales waves in the last quarter of 2025, XRP also had its share of this process. The downward trend that occurred in the last months of the year has given way to signs of recovery, albeit limited, in the first days of 2026. Market analysts, on the other hand, evaluate both the rise and fall possibilities in detail by looking at the current technical structure of XRP.
Falling Channel and Technical View on XRP
XRP experienced a sharp pullback after reaching $3.1 in early October 2025. With the loss of psychological supports such as first $3 and then $2, the price closed the end of the year at $1.84. This chart caused the formation of a bearish candle on an annual basis for the first time since 2022. Strong sales, especially from the $2.7–2.75 band, caused the price to enter a falling channel that lasted for months.
According to market analyst Chart Nerd, this area was previously a support area but has turned into a strong resistance area. In line with the descending channel structure, XRP formed lower highs in the last quarter of 2025, confirming the downtrend. However, reaction purchases in the first days of 2026 show that the price found support in the range of $ 1.6–1.77, which is the lower band of the channel. Higher lows on daily charts indicate that the short-term trend has changed direction. According to the analyst, this stuck structure may pave the way for a sharp increase in volatility in the coming days.
What Do Boom and Fall Scenarios Say?
XRP, which gained more than 10% in value in the first three days of 2026, still moves within the falling channel. Chart Nerd emphasizes that in a bullish scenario, it is critical for the price to break through the upper trend line of the channel. This level is around $2.1. If this resistance is broken, it may be possible for XRP to retest the $2.7–2.75 band. According to the analyst, exceeding this zone will be a strong confirmation that the trend has turned upward again on a macro scale.
On the other hand, in the bearish scenario, it is stated that if XRP cannot break the $ 2.1 resistance, the selling pressure may increase again. In such a case, it would not be surprising if the price retreated towards the supports around $1.6. This level was last seen in April 2025. However, the analyst argues that no matter which scenario occurs, XRP is currently accumulating serious momentum and this may bring sudden price movements.
In addition to this technical picture, another news from the Ripple front has also attracted attention recently. News that Ripple has established new payment partnerships in the Asia-Pacific region has increased optimism about XRP’s usage area. According to experts, such fundamental developments, combined with the technical outlook, can be decisive on the price.
As a result, the current picture for XRP contains significant opportunities as well as uncertainty. While technical analysis points to critical resistance and support levels, positive news from the Ripple ecosystem strengthens investor perception. However, the reality of the falling channel should not be ignored; Therefore, it is of great importance for investors to act cautiously by monitoring both technical levels and fundamental developments together.
