XRP price remains under pressure, trading below the key $2.00 level. Multiple failed attempts to move higher have reinforced the broader downtrend, keeping buyers cautious. With price action capped by strong resistance, momentum has weakened, and market confidence remains fragile. Unless XRP can decisively reclaim $2.00, sentiment is likely to stay defensive.
On-chain Data Signals Growing Stress Among XRP Holders
According to Glassnode, growing pressure on XRP holders. About 52% of the circulating supply is currently in profit, meaning nearly half of all tokens are underwater. This decline in profitability mirrors late-2024 conditions, when XRP failed to sustain strong rallies.
Historically, when the share of supply in profit nears or drops below 50%, XRP often enters extended consolidation or deeper corrective phases. While this does not signal an immediate sell-off, it increases the risk of panic selling if prices slip further and holder confidence weakens.
Ownership concentration is adding to market concern. Ripple Labs continues to control a significant share of the supply, with roughly 45 billion XRP held in escrow and about 1 billion tokens freely available. Because supply is heavily concentrated among a small group of entities and exchanges, changes in large-holder behavior can quickly impact XRP’s price direction.
Whale Activity Reflects Cautious Positioning
Data shows that wallets in the top 1% of XRP holders control approximately 87.6% of the total supply, slightly lower than earlier in the month. While the decline is modest, even small reductions at this scale can affect price action.
Rather than accumulating aggressively, whales appear to be reducing exposure cautiously. This behavior limits upside momentum and reinforces the current sideways-to-bearish structure, making a rapid recovery less likely without fresh demand.
XRP Price Analysis
From a technical standpoint, XRP is trading near $1.92 and remains capped below resistance around $1.94. A descending trendline that has held for more than six weeks continues to suppress upside attempts. In the near term, XRP is likely to remain range-bound between $1.85 and $1.94 unless a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs.
Analysts See Potential for a Trend Reversal
Despite the weak backdrop, some analysts are watching for a potential shift. Crypto analyst Arthur notes that liquidation data shows most downside liquidity has already been cleared, while significant liquidation clusters sit above the price between $2.10 and $3.20. He believes this imbalance could fuel a sharp upside move if momentum returns.
Meanwhile, x user, Niels, highlights a possible double-bottom formation, with RSI rebounding and price reclaiming support after a brief fake breakdown. If broader market conditions improve, he sees XRP targeting the $2.30–$2.50 range.
FAQs
Analysts predict XRP could reach $5.05 by December 2025 if bullish momentum continues and key resistance levels are broken.
XRP price is influenced by ETF approvals, on-chain activity, investor sentiment, legal developments, and broader crypto market trends.
XRP shows bullish signs with strong on-chain activity and ETF interest, but investors should watch key support and resistance levels carefully.
XRP could reach an average of $26.50 by 2030, driven by growing adoption, institutional interest, and market expansion.
XRP’s price could range from $97.50 to $179 by 2040, reflecting potential long-term adoption as a global payment solution.
XRP might reach between $219 and $526 by 2050 if it becomes a dominant digital asset with widespread global usage.
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