Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú, is standing firm on its Bitcoin view even after this year’s pullback. In its latest outlook, the bank advises investors to keep around 1% to 3% of their portfolio in Bitcoin as they look toward 2026. With a message that short-term drops do not cancel out Bitcoin’s longer-term role in diversification and protection against uncertainty. At the moment, Bitcoin is trading near the $90,100 level, down about 2.3% over the past day on a USDT basis.
Why Bitcoin Still Has a Place
According to Itaú analyst Renato Eid, Bitcoin does not behave like stocks, bonds, or local assets. Its global and decentralized nature means it often reacts to different forces, especially during economic stress or geopolitical tension. While volatility remains part of the package, the bank believes Bitcoin can still balance a portfolio and offer long-term upside when traditional assets struggle.
Itaú Expands Its Crypto Offering
Itaú is also building its own digital asset services. The bank has started by offering trading in Bitcoin and Ethereum, with plans to add more cryptocurrencies over time. Guto Antunes, Itaú’s head of digital assets, explained that the bank itself will handle custody. This means clients’ crypto holdings are backed by Itaú’s balance sheet, though for now, users cannot move assets to or from external wallets. The focus is on safety and ease of access rather than full self-custody.
Itaú highlights that Bitcoin’s performance in Brazil is closely tied to currency moves. In 2025, Bitcoin saw sharp swings, but the strengthening Brazilian real made losses feel larger for local investors. On the flip side, when the dollar surged in late 2024, Bitcoin helped protect value. This reinforces its role as a hedge during periods of currency stress.
Global Banks Share a Similar View
Itaú is not alone. Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee has suggested a 2% to 4% crypto allocation for suitable clients, often comparing Bitcoin to digital gold. Bank of America has also advised wealth clients to consider a 1% to 4% allocation through regulated products. Across the board, large institutions see Bitcoin as risky but increasingly established.
A Measured, Long-Term Strategy
Rather than chasing short-term moves, Itaú encourages patience. Investors can gain exposure through the bank’s Íon platform or the BITI11 ETF on Brazil’s B3 exchange, avoiding custody complexity. The bank stresses that Bitcoin should support a portfolio, not dominate it. In an uncertain global environment, a modest allocation is seen as a practical way to add global exposure and currency protection without overreaching.
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FAQs
Investors can use Itaú’s Íon platform or BITI11 ETF, with the bank managing custody for safety and simplicity.
Yes, Bitcoin can hedge against local currency stress, helping preserve value when the real weakens or the dollar rises.
Yes, but top institutions suggest small allocations (1%-4%) for long-term exposure, treating it like digital gold.
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