Tariffs, Fed and Inflation Triangle in crypto coins It is the basis of the decline of August. BTC The start of the test at 112,500 dollars, which is the key level for, is based on the PPI data from the PPI last week. Manufacturer inflation, which came out of expectation, showed everyone that the impact of tariffs on inflation is not limited, as Trump said.
Crypto Coins Decrease
When the Fed minutes will start tomorrow, Jackson Hole and the Powell statements on Friday, which will begin tomorrow, have a great combination.
Fed 3 members, including Miran, openly support interest rate cuts. 2 Members said the UFE data can be made in September due to the cooling of employment. However, the number of 7 enough could not be reached.
Now there is a table like this;
- Inflation is increasing.
- The PPI signals more increase for CPI.
- Employment is getting cold.
- Effective Customs Dutch Rate Based on 17 percent
Tariff rates that were commissioned as of August 1 are far above the 10 %base rate and customs duties revenues will withstand $ 40 billion this month. So in September, we will encounter worse things in the next August reports. To a large extent, everyone is sure. Moreover, the September interest rate decision will be taken after new employment and inflation figures.
Risk appetite weakened
Since all developments undermine investors’ risk appetite, at least this week turned the appearance into a clear negative. We mentioned that August will start negatively at the end of July. Although there was an intermediate rise with a request of billions of dollars ETH, ETH gave up about 80-100 dollars before the new AC level, and we have come across such a painting for about a week.
Trump demands the reduction of interest rates as much as he wants, under these circumstances, Powell and the overwhelming majority of the members are difficult to remove without a surprise development. Even if there is a discount, the inflation continues to increase at this rate and the first and last discount of the year will probably be.
According to Fedwatch data, the probability of discounts for 85 percent Powell’s 100 basis points discount indicates the expectations for April 2026.
There is not much meaning to extend very much, but this week, the Fed minutes, Jackson Hole and the Powell statements of Friday’s Powell statements were not possible to expect a different picture while on the investors this week.
When the PPI data arrives yet BTC 120 thousand and Eth When we were in $ 4,650, we mentioned that this decline could accelerate and it was expected. It was expected at the beginning of August. While the tariffs for all countries have been activated in August, the reflections of the tariff effect on PPI data will become even more clear. The FED will see the most up -to -date version of this data before the next meeting. If there is an increase in the speed similar to the PPI, this can lead to an annoying environment in which the pigeon for the FED returns to the stance for the FED.
Responsibility Rejection: The information contained in this article does not contain investment advice. Investors should be aware that crypto currencies carry high volatility and thus risk and carry out their operations in line with their own research.
