Is the altcoin season about to begin, or is it a trap for an impending crash? As investors search for the next 100x token, one on-chain analyst is doing the opposite. He is planning his full exit in 2025. Here’s why:
90% of Altcoins Could Plunge
If historical data is observed, altseason starts in June and goes strong for up to a year. But according to this expert, it’s otherwise. He believes that 90% of altcoins could crash by 99% by 2026.
The expert plans to sell all his crypto in 2025. Generally, the altcoin season could start around June or July, with memecoins potentially going 30x, Layer-2 projects pumping, and NFTs waking up. However, these trends will seem “too good to miss,” and that’s exactly where the trap lies. Retail investors tend to jump in right before everything crashes. According to him, altcoins will crash hard, and most will never bounce back.
Key Metrics to Spot Market Tops Early
To spot cycle tops, he observes three key metrics: MVRV (market value vs. realized value), NUPL (net unrealized profit/loss), and SOPR (spent output profit ratio). These indicators flashed red weeks before the crashes in 2017 and 2021. Hence, the advice is to sell while most people still believe prices will keep rising.
Most investors might let their crypto profits vanish by holding too long, and to avoid this, his plan is to withdraw gradually while the market is still strong, diversify into safer assets like yield-generating investments, RWA, etc.
Jumping back into the “one last pump” is always a trap, he says. He also urged using cold wallets for serious holdings and burner wallets for risky plays like airdrops or degen bets, and never mix secure capital with gambling exposure.
Bull markets are breeding grounds for scams like fake tokens to malicious websites, and one wrong click could erase all gains. Instead of going all-in on altcoins, he advises diversifying into stablecoins and income assets. The plan is to exit before FOMO hits, watch real indicators, and be ready to sell even when it feels tough.
Why Is Altseason Delayed?
In the past bull runs like 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin quickly surged to parabolic rallies soon after it hit all-time highs. But this time, it has been hovering near its all-time high for months. This shows that the real breakout could still be coming.
Some traders also point out that every big altcoin season in the past has kicked off when interest rates were low, as cheap money makes people willing to take more risks, and money starts pouring into altcoins. So, without rate cuts, there isn’t enough fuel to spark that kind of run.
