How Weak Demand is Fueling a Prolonged Downturn

Bitcoin is showing strong bearish signals as key valuation metrics indicate weakness. Demand is contracting, whales are slowing accumulation, and spot Bitcoin ETFs have turned into net sellers. Currently, the BTC price stands at $82,706 – at least 32.39% below the all-time high. In the last 30 days, the Bitcoin market has experienced a drop of 15.3%. In the last seven days alone, the market has dropped by 5.8%. The question remains: Is this normal, or the start of a deeper downturn? 

Bitcoin Metrics Turn Bearish 

The CryptoQuant Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator is at its most bearish level in this cycle. Importantly, the MVRV Ration z-score has declined below its 365-day moving average. What this suggests is a loss of upward momentum.

Bitcoin Demand Is Weakening 

According to the CryptoQuant weekly report, whales have slowed their accumulation. Bitcoin ETFs in the US are now net sellers instead of buyers. 

Yesterday alone, at least 371M flew out of the Bitcoin Spot ETF market. At least 35.50M flew out of GBTC, around 151.3M from IBIT, nearly 107.10M from FBTC, 9.10M from BITB, 14.9M from BTCO, 600K from HODL, and around 3.4M from BRRR.    

Bitcoin’s apparent demand shrank by 103K last week, the fastest decline since July 2024. 

At the start of March, the price of BTC was at $84,352.73. On the second day, it climbed to a peak of $94,302.78. This month, the market has suffered at least two serious corrections: a 8.55% correction on March 3 and a 13.27% correction between March 6 and 10. Yesterday, the BTC market grew from $78,629 to 82,922. Currently, the price stands at $82,706 – slightly below yesterday’s closing price. 

As per the report, the annual accumulation rate of investors has also dropped significantly. 

How Deep Will This Correction Go?

Right now, the price of Bitcoin is at least 32.39% below its all-time high. The BTC markert has witnessed a sharp correction. 

Valuation metrics suggest this correction is deeper than those seen in previous bull runs. 

If demand remains weak, Bitcoin could enter a prolonged bearish phase. 

In conclusion, Bitcoin is facing serious bearish pressure, with shrinking demand and negative signals from key metrics. While similar corrections have happened before, the depth of this downturn raises concerns about whether BTC is headed for a prolonged bear market.    

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