Amid the ongoing crypto correction catalyzed by the Bitcoin (BTC) price drop below $94k, the Toncoin (TON) price has retested a crucial support level of around $4.8, which has been established in the past eight months. The large-cap layer-one altcoin, with a fully diluted valuation of about $27.6 billion and a 24-hour average traded volume of about $285 million, has been forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
In the weekly time frame, the TON price has been forming a symmetrical descending triangular pattern, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) successively rebounds from the 50 percent level. Furthermore, the TON price has successfully rebounded from the 50-weekly Simple Moving Average (SMA), thus suggesting a potential rebound in the near term.
Why Bet on Toncoin Recovery in 2025
The Toncoin network has grown to a robust web3 ecosystem bolstered by Telegram’s mini apps in the recent past. Already, the TON blockchain has achieved more than $1 billion in stablecoins, less than a year since Tether’s USDT integration. With a dozen DeFi projects, the TON project has grown to over $247 million in total value locked (TVL).
According to on-chain data analysis by IntoTheBlock, Telegram’s mini apps led by Notcoin (NOT) have propelled TON’s daily active users to over 5 million.
The success of the Toncoin network is heavily bolstered by Telegram, which achieved annual profitability in 2024’s fiscal first. According to Pavel Durov, Telegram’s CEO and founder, the social media platform has over 12 million premium subscribers.
As a result, Telegram reported surpassing a revenue of $1 billion in 2024 for the first time and currently holds more than $500 million in cash reserves, excluding crypto assets.
Midterm Targets
In the daily and weekly time frames, TON price is preparing for a major breakout after being trapped in a triangular pattern for the past few months. In case the TON price successfully breaks above the hypotenuse of the macro triangular pattern, a bull run beyond 10 will be imminent in 2025.
From a bearish point of view, TON’s price could retest the support level around $4.44 before rebounding towards a new all-time high in the first half of 2025.
