September is historically a bad month for Bitcoin and altcoins alike, and current indicators show the market may be overbought, suggesting more price drops. XRP’s price movements have been closely mirroring Bitcoin’s. Historically, whenever Bitcoin shows lower highs after each correction, XRP tends to follow the same pattern. This means that as Bitcoin drops, XRP is expected to decline in value as well.
However, the recent news of Grayscale launching an XRP Trust has positively impacted XRP’s price. This trust is designed to give institutional investors exposure to XRP, indicating growing confidence in the asset’s long-term potential.
XRP is also one of the nine cryptocurrencies compliant with the ISO 20022 standard, which is crucial for integrating into traditional financial systems and could position it to be used in future CBDCs.
XRP Price Analysis:
Triangle Pattern and Waves: The price movement since the swing low on July 4th, around $0.38, saw a three-wave rally, labeled as wave A. Analysts are anticipating a continuation to the upside, although confidence in this outcome isn’t high. The current sideways movement is seen as a B-wave, which is expected to lead into a C-wave. This entire structure can be identified as a triangle with waves A, B, C, and D already completed, and a final E-wave potentially forming a higher low.
Key Levels and Invalidation Points: Both scenarios share the same invalidation point at $0.50. A break below this level would invalidate the microstructures of either pattern. The next crucial resistance is at $0.642 to $0.643, which is the swing high from August 7th.
A sustained break above this level could signal the start of a third wave to the upside, possibly reaching $0.86, the ideal target for a third wave based on Fibonacci extensions. However, if the price breaks above the previous B-wave high but does not hold above it, it could still be part of the triangle structure, forming a barrier triangle, though this is less common.
